Crystal balls and star maps are sometimes used to predict the future but a more constant means of prediction can be had in observing people and their countries and their actions. The People’s Republic of China has been preparing for war on its neighbours under the auspice of defending its territorial claims upon open sea. The PRC now states that it will board any ship that it chooses to board within the South China Sea area as it, based upon its contentious claim upon the whole area of open sea. As per a recent article in the China Daily,
. . .from January 1, Hainan police will have the authority to board and seize control of foreign ships which “illegally enter” Chinese waters and order them to change course or stop sailing . . .
This act alone could easily set off a military incident in the region since the PRC’s claims are unprecedented in history. The PRC is attempting to claim territory that is well over the 12-nautical-mile limit that is considered to be the international standard.
The point has been reached where a real incident can easily occur. As per one report:
. . . a Chinese navy frigate had directed its fire-control radar at a Japanese destroyer in the incident on Jan. 30 near the islands in the East China Sea, known as the Senkaku in Japan and Diaoyu in Chinese. The uninhabited island group has been controlled by Japan for decades, but claimed by China and also Taiwan.
On Tuesday, the Defense Ministry also disclosed that a Chinese frigate had directed the same kind of radar at a Japanese military helicopter in a previously undisclosed incident on Jan. 19. (cite)
The time is approaching when the PRC will start a real war and containment will become confrontation.