More presidential election post-mortem analysis

– Ye Olde Chosun—or at least the two companies it hired—broke down the Twitter numbers over the last three months and discovered something interesting—contrary to popular opinion, which holds that the Korean Twitterverse is a bastion of left-wing/progressive opinion, most (62.6%) of the tweets (including retweets) that mentioned “Park Geun-hye” and her dad Park Chung-hee in the same tweet were positive, while the overwhelming number (90.1%) of tweets that mentioned Moon Jae-in and his former boss, Roh Moo-hyun, in the same tweet were negative. Tweet mentions also roughly mirrored the election results.

– The conservative press is piling on United Progressive Party candidate Lee Jung-hee. According to experts, a sense of insecurity among voters in their 50s and 60s was a major factor in Park’s victory, reports the Chosun Ilbo. North Korea’s missile launch and suspicions that late President Roh tried to abandon the NLL were among the causes of this insecurity, but Lee’s rhetoric during the debates also helped drive older voters to the polls. In sum, older voters felt attacks on Park Chung-hee were attacks on them. The Chosun also suggests that the opposition siege of the NIS agent also led to blowback.

The Dong-A Ilbo also pointed to Lee’s rhetoric as a factor in mobilizing the conservative vote. It also notes that her party may now become the wangtta of the progressive movement.

Now, how much of this is true and how much of this is self-justifications of the conservative media’s pre-election coverage, I leave up to you.

Some of the names being bandied about within the SNP for chairman of the presidential transition team include Public Happiness Promotion Committee chairman Kim Jong-in, former Kim Dae-jung chief of staff Han Kwang-ok, National Future Institute (or something like that) director Kim Gwang-du, and former Deputy Prime Minster in Charge of Economic Affairs Jin Nyum. A lot of folk from the Honam region, including several former Kim Dae-jung administration officials. Some other names being talked about are SNU professor Song Ho-geun and former People’s Solidarity for Participatory Democracy co-chair and former Beautiful Foundation head Minister Park Sang-jeung, who recently seems to have undergone a conversion to the (moderate) right.

– That a lot of former DJ folk might be included in the Park administration shouldn’t be surprising. In the Jeolla provinces, there seems to be some resentment that a) the current DUP movers are former Roh guys from Busan/Gyeongsangnam-do and b) that the DUP takes them for granted, or as former Democratic Party heavyweight Han Hwa-gap (from the Jeolla provinces) put it while announcing his support for Park Geun-hye prior to the election, “The current Democratic Party just needs the Jeolla provinces for votes; it doesn’t do anything for the Jeolla provinces. As long as the Jeolla provinces support the Democratic Party, it’s a Democratic Party colony.” Now, the Jeolla provinces still voted heavily in favor of Moon Jae-in, so make of that what you will.

– Something interesting about the Seoul Education chief elections—according to exit polls, voters in their 20s broke in favor of the conservative candidate. According to the Chosun, this is because voters in their 20s are the first generation to have been schooled after the legalization of the Korean Teachers and Education Workers Union (KTU) in 1999. To sum up the Chosun, voters in the 30s (who voted for the progressive candidate, the former chief of the KTU) remember KTU teachers as hardworking, friendly and passionate, while those in their 20s remember them for their excessive political and ideological activity.

– The good folks at podcast Nakkomsu are currently facing complaints from the NIS, Park Geun-hye’s brother and the Saenuri Party. Jesus. See this for some background.

– Last, but not least, Russian-born entertainer Larisa kept her pre-election promise. In a theater in Daehangno, she did the horse dance nude. And the Dong-A Ilbo, bless their hearts, were there to photograph it.

  • madar

    I need to vist Daehangno more often!

  • gbnhj

    In a theater in Daehangno…

    Looks like that ‘theater’ comes equipped with a stripper pole and couches.

  • Robert Koehler

    Well, I should have added her dance came at the end of her show, which is an adult-oriented theater performance. See here:

  • Stephane MOT

    Good to see you’re still alive! (well according to the Mayans this could also be pre-mortem for all of us)I was astonished to see MOON agree on three-party debates, and when I saw LEE Jung-hee in the first one, I thought she was working as a Saenuri submarine. For MOON, the end of the primaries was last Sunday, when she bowed out. Too late to reach for undecided voters. He clearly won the last debate, but the audience was half that of the previous ones.Regarding Seoul Education chief elections, I don’t see how the left could have won following the Kwak scandal and the free lunch fiasco.Merry Mayamess and happy new world!

  • Koreandumbdumb

    More women power and more anti-Communist sentiment.   No more pro-North, pro-Commie bull.  Koreans are learning to be capitalists and be proud of it.   That is good.

  • RElgin

    Lee Jung-hee is very smart, still and many from my sample poll admitted that she had made some valid observations that they agreed with, even though they eventually voted for PGH.  The real question is WHY is there no one like her being heard in Saenuri Dang!?

    Despite her bias, there is still a place for smart people who want to contribute to something different from the two-party dung theatre (not to be confused with the American version).

  • Cm

    She just sounds smart because she’s been thoroughly ideologically intellectualized by her peers in the North Korean movement.  She’s just regurgitating her party’s ideology.  She even let it slip unintentionally during the televised debate when she referred to South Korea as the southern Korea – a descriptive word used by North Korea, to describe South Korea.  The DUP party allying themselves with these NK sympathizers, turned off a lot of people this summer. That negative effect against opposition party had worn off by the time campaigning came around.  But then there was Lee Jeong Hee, in the televised debate, reminding a lot of people to go out there and vote so that this woman and her party doesn’t have any chance to capitalize on the DUP win.  The biggest klutzes were the DUP’s who were stupid enough to ally with Lee’s radical party. They sure shot themselves in the foot, and handed the elections to the Conservatives.

  • Cm

     Public decency and nudity law prevented her from bearing all in the streets.  She was persuaded by the police, not to put on the show in outdoor public.  Instead they asked and permitted  her to hold her show inside.   It’s another archaic law that need to be redefined to allow legitimate artistic expressions.

  • RElgin

     Despite her idealized POV, why is there still no one to stand up to her arguments and to argue their fallacies in a skillful and coherent manner?  The debates show that president-elect Park is more a Saenuri golem unfortunately.

  • dlbarch

    Those two separate posts above regarding (1) Lee Jung-hee and (2) the SNP transition team, along with the post yesterday about possible cabinet members in a PGH administration, got me thinking that this year has really been quite extraordinary for women in Korean politics.

    PGH’s election speaks for itself. So, too, does Lee Jung-hee’s intellectually formidable, full-throated advocacy of all things progressive. But let’s not forget that the sanity-wing of the old UPP was headed by Sim Sang-jeong, and the DUP was headed, until the National Assembly debacle, er, elections in April, by Han Myeong-sook.

    Whatever else, this confluence of female politicians rising to leadership positions within their respective political movements is really quite extraordinary.

    And let’s not forget the emergence of Jasmine Lee as yet another agent of change in Korean politics…for the better, I think.

    Ironically, though, there are not a lot of women’s names among the lists of transition team and cabinet members that have been bandied about. It will be interesting to see whether that changes between now and the inauguration.


  • mightymouse

    Can women effect change though. Just because they got elected doesn’t necessarily mean they can effect changes for women. I hope they do. 

  • Annie Nonimus

    I know that for my in-laws, the NIS thing ended up pushing them to Park Geun-hye. Old and young, they all thought that story was BS. Not PGH supporters at all, but they were just disgusted by Lee Chung-hee, Moon, and the progressives in general.

  • SalarymaninSeoul

     The Juche Princess is about the most disgusting human being I have ever seen.