Shinzo Abe? Again?

by Robert Koehler on December 16, 2012

in Japan

Looks like we’ll have Shinzo Abe to kick around again:

Japan’s main conservative party is on course for a resounding victory in Sunday’s election, with exit polls indicating it could take control of two-thirds of the lower house, consigning the centre-left government to a crushing defeat.

The Liberal Democratic party (LDP), ousted from office just three years ago, has staged a dramatic comeback under its leader, Shinzo Abe, who as head of the largest party is assured of becoming prime minister.

Exit polls showed the LDP would win 296 seats in the 480-seat lower house, while its longtime ally, New Komeito, was on course to win 32 seats. Combined, the tally would give the parties the “super-majority” they need to take total control of both houses of parliament and end years of policy deadlock and instability

The news gets better—Shintaro “The Ish” Ishihara’s Japan Restoration Party looks like Japan’s third biggest party.

I hope the LDP sends a fruit basket to Beijing for services rendered. I wonder how this will impact this week’s presidential election in Korea, too.

Anyway, I look forward to reading the analysis at Mutant Frog.

{ 31 comments… read them below or add one }

1 mickster2 December 17, 2012 at 12:46 am

I don’t think Beijing helped much in LDP’s coming back.  The ruling Democratic Party of Japan simply shot itself in the foot.
BTW, I was away quite a while and am not familiar with Disque.  Mickster2 is the same as old mickster, though I could not register with mickster since it was already taken.
I guess Abe’s halkish stance is probably a boon to Park than Moon.  What do fellow Koreans think?

2 DC Musicfreak December 17, 2012 at 1:46 am

“I hope the LDP sends a fruit basket to Beijing for services rendered.”  And one to Seoul, because LMB surely helped, too

3 ig5959292ee December 17, 2012 at 1:55 am

good post

4 bumfromkorea December 17, 2012 at 1:55 am

Let the Great NE Asian Arms Race begin!

5 mickster2 December 17, 2012 at 3:24 am

Oh, I misspelled again…

6 The_Korean December 17, 2012 at 7:26 am

We are potentially looking at four fascist-style leaders in NE Asia — Abe, Park, Putin and Xi. Lovely.

7 Robert Koehler December 17, 2012 at 8:01 am

In retrospect, I think that’s probably a fair observation.

8 Robert Koehler December 17, 2012 at 8:02 am

Yeah, things might get interesting.

9 Robert Koehler December 17, 2012 at 8:02 am

The great thing about Disqus is that it allows you to edit your comments. Just letting you know.

10 Robert Koehler December 17, 2012 at 8:03 am

Did you just drop an F (fascist) bomb?

11 The_Korean December 17, 2012 at 8:16 am

I feel that it is an underused term to describe deserving parties. (And simultaneously overused to describe undeserving parties.)

12 Yi December 17, 2012 at 10:02 am

the game of chicken…then WW3

13 Ian Schwartz December 17, 2012 at 11:44 am

Park Geun-hye is a fascist? As opposed to Moon Jae-in, the guy who wants to hand the entire country over to the North Koreans?

14 Robert Koehler December 17, 2012 at 12:21 pm

Not that I’m a huge PGH fanboy, but she doesn’t exactly strike me a Mussolini material, either.

15 Robert Koehler December 17, 2012 at 12:22 pm

See what you did, TK?

16 blade_rider December 17, 2012 at 3:44 pm

Both are very weak candidates.

17 The_Korean December 17, 2012 at 11:36 pm

 If you’re not responsible for the knuckleheads who post here, neither am I… :)

18 DC Musicfreak December 17, 2012 at 11:41 pm

Strike Park (daughter not father) and Abe and add Kim Jung-un and then this list is at least arguable.

19 The_Korean December 17, 2012 at 11:47 pm

Will accept the friendly amendment to add Kim Jeong-eun as a fascist leader in NE Asia. Reject the amendment regarding Park and Abe.

20 yuna_at_marmotshole December 18, 2012 at 1:33 am

The only guy coming close to being of a Fascist mind is Moon of the ugly ambition, even before the election.

He might have singlehandedly destroyed the chance to bring South Korea one step away from the extreme bipartisan mire it’s steeped in, and even be responsible for crowning the dictator’s daughter himself.
   
Disgusting.

Nobody I know who was rooting for Ahn is going to vote for him. WE ALL KNEW IT.

 

21 wangkon936 December 18, 2012 at 2:07 am

Ugh, wtf Japan?  I got a little taste of this guy’s economic policy and it’s just a standard Keynesian approach by priming the pump into more construction projects, just like Japan tried to do in the 90′s!  Just what Japan needs.  More bridges to nowhere!

22 wangkon936 December 18, 2012 at 2:07 am

Good point.

23 wangkon936 December 18, 2012 at 2:07 am

Good for Lockheed and Boeing.

24 Anonymous_Joe December 18, 2012 at 2:34 am

“Ugh, wtf Japan?  I got a little taste of this guy’s economic policy and it’s just a standard Keynesian approach by priming the pump….”

Japan is broken and being sucked down into the vortex of deflation, which is much worse than inflation.  Something’s gotta be done.  As Uncle Miltie (Friedman, that is) said and I saw happen in the U.S. in 2009, “we’re all Keynesians now.”

25 wangkon936 December 18, 2012 at 2:41 am

I don’t mind Keynesian economic policy as long as it is intelligently done in longer timer projects that will create real and lasting aggregate demand.

26 The_Korean December 18, 2012 at 2:58 am

 Perhaps this will change your mind:  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DDt9CB92K1k

27 yuna_at_marmotshole December 18, 2012 at 3:32 am

Thanks for the effort.

I already started to go off Prof. Cho a bit, when he tried to lighten his own share of the blame-to-come here after the ship’d sailed.
Anyway I knew (and predicted on the blog) that somehow being a Seoul National academic of around the same age would make him not appreciative of Ahn (this town not big enough for the two of us kind of reasoning).

Cho’s speech is very ideological, and he paints Moon also as a man who deserves respect from his life laden with heavy political ideology and struggle.

The thing is Moon failed heavily by not putting his money where his mouth is when he could have “really” made a difference by playing second fiddle to Ahn’s sure victory. He absolutely jeopardized the chance to take the government from Saenuri/Park by not relenting. People judge by action, less by support.

 

28 DC Musicfreak December 18, 2012 at 4:40 am

If you mean “fascist!” the way we in my high school in the late 1970s used to call Asst Principal Hughes when he cracked down on long hair, then you can throw the word around as freely as you like. But under any reasonable definition of the term,  Kim Jong Un absolutely qualifies and Putin and Xi  arguably do. But not this generation of the PGH or Abe families.  

a. A system of government marked by centralization of authority under a dictator, stringent socioeconomic controls, suppression of the opposition through terror and censorship, and typically a policy of belligerent nationalism and racism.b. A political philosophy or movement based on or advocating such a system of government.
2. Oppressive, dictatorial control.  

Moon seems to have learned little of practical value about dealing with North Korea — if his reported pledge to turn back on the unconditional aid spigots are accurate — but that’s not fascism.  The pro-North lady who just quit the presidential race displayed many of the ingredients of fascism.

29 yuna_at_marmotshole December 18, 2012 at 6:50 am

My Italian friends once said there were these young pro-Berlusconi kids in the streets of Italy protesting/shouting “Fascists” to anti-Berlusconi faction. They said they wanted to ask the meaning.

I’m afraid it’s become an urban dictionary definition exactly framed by the example involving assistant principal Hughes.

30 YangachiBastardo December 19, 2012 at 7:25 am

 Ugh, wtf Japan?  I got a little taste of this guy’s economic policy and it’s just a standard Keynesian approach by priming the pump into more construction projects, just like Japan tried to do in the 90′s!  Just what Japan needs.  More bridges to nowhere!

Japan is getting closer and closer to Banana Republic status, the yen is the short of the decade (against a basket of Asian currencies) 

31 YangachiBastardo December 19, 2012 at 7:29 am

 My Italian friends once said there were these young pro-Berlusconi kids in the streets of Italy protesting/shouting “Fascists” to anti-Berlusconi faction. They said they wanted to ask the meaning.

Yuna most of Italian youth political vagaries can be explained in terms of what brands of jackets are popular at the moment and how many days of school can be safely skipped by barking at the moon like dumbasses in some cobbled street 

Previous post:

Next post: