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	<title>Comments on: Flavor of the Month</title>
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	<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2008/01/22/flavor-of-the-month-2/</link>
	<description>Korea... in Blog Format</description>
	<pubDate>Mon,  8 Sep 2008 12:02:50 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: Arghaeri</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2008/01/22/flavor-of-the-month-2/#comment-131309</link>
		<dc:creator>Arghaeri</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Jan 2008 03:42:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rjkoehler.com/2008/01/22/flavor-of-the-month-2/#comment-131309</guid>
		<description>"Why does he want to revive something that has never died?”

Its generally pretty diffcult and otfen a little too late to revive something after its dead. Although reputedly Jesus managed it. 

"to come or bring back to a healthy, vigorous, or flourishing condition after a decline"</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Why does he want to revive something that has never died?”</p>
<p>Its generally pretty diffcult and otfen a little too late to revive something after its dead. Although reputedly Jesus managed it. </p>
<p>&#8220;to come or bring back to a healthy, vigorous, or flourishing condition after a decline&#8221;</p>
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		<title>By: day4night</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2008/01/22/flavor-of-the-month-2/#comment-131177</link>
		<dc:creator>day4night</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Jan 2008 02:35:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rjkoehler.com/2008/01/22/flavor-of-the-month-2/#comment-131177</guid>
		<description>The most excellent Martin Wolf on various "what went wrong" scenarios: 
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/18083bfa-c8f8-11dc-b14b-0000779fd2ac.html

George Soros' FT piece claiming this may be a terrible recession and that China will come out the winner:
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/24f73610-c91e-11dc-9807-000077b07658.html

Which leads to a brilliant new Foreign Affairs article about the rise of China and how to deal with it and not fuck up the world in the process. 
http://www.foreignaffairs.org/20080101faessay87102/g-john-ikenberry/the-rise-of-china-and-the-future-of-the-west.html

IMO this last one should be required reading.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The most excellent Martin Wolf on various &#8220;what went wrong&#8221; scenarios:<br />
<a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/18083bfa-c8f8-11dc-b14b-0000779fd2ac.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/1808.....fd2ac.html</a></p>
<p>George Soros&#8217; FT piece claiming this may be a terrible recession and that China will come out the winner:<br />
<a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/24f73610-c91e-11dc-9807-000077b07658.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/24f7.....07658.html</a></p>
<p>Which leads to a brilliant new Foreign Affairs article about the rise of China and how to deal with it and not fuck up the world in the process.<br />
<a href="http://www.foreignaffairs.org/20080101faessay87102/g-john-ikenberry/the-rise-of-china-and-the-future-of-the-west.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.foreignaffairs.org/.....-west.html</a></p>
<p>IMO this last one should be required reading.</p>
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		<title>By: WangKon936</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2008/01/22/flavor-of-the-month-2/#comment-131170</link>
		<dc:creator>WangKon936</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Jan 2008 01:57:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rjkoehler.com/2008/01/22/flavor-of-the-month-2/#comment-131170</guid>
		<description>Rob should really move some of these comments to a new post entitled "What the F*ck Happened to the Economy?"</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Rob should really move some of these comments to a new post entitled &#8220;What the F*ck Happened to the Economy?&#8221;</p>
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		<title>By: Wedge</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2008/01/22/flavor-of-the-month-2/#comment-131168</link>
		<dc:creator>Wedge</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Jan 2008 01:15:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rjkoehler.com/2008/01/22/flavor-of-the-month-2/#comment-131168</guid>
		<description>The Fed has really screwed the pooch. The reason we are in this trouble in the first place is Greenspan's injections of liquidity over the nonexistent Y2K crisis (anyone remember that stupidity?) and the LTCM boondoggle. Too much money chasing too few productive opportunities is the PROBLEM, not the SOLUTION.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Fed has really screwed the pooch. The reason we are in this trouble in the first place is Greenspan&#8217;s injections of liquidity over the nonexistent Y2K crisis (anyone remember that stupidity?) and the LTCM boondoggle. Too much money chasing too few productive opportunities is the PROBLEM, not the SOLUTION.</p>
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		<title>By: Linkd</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2008/01/22/flavor-of-the-month-2/#comment-131162</link>
		<dc:creator>Linkd</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Jan 2008 00:39:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rjkoehler.com/2008/01/22/flavor-of-the-month-2/#comment-131162</guid>
		<description>Willem Buiter:

&lt;blockquote&gt;It is bad news when the markets panic.  It is worse news when one of the world's key monetary policy making institutions panics.  Today the Fed cut the target for the Federal Funds Rate by 75 basis points, from 4.25 percent to 3.50 percent.  

This extraordinary action was excessive and smells of fear.  It is the clearest example of monetary policy panic football I have witnessed in more than thirty years as a professional economist.  Because the action is so disproportionate, it is likely to further unsettle markets.&lt;/blockquote&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Willem Buiter:</p>
<blockquote><p>It is bad news when the markets panic.  It is worse news when one of the world&#8217;s key monetary policy making institutions panics.  Today the Fed cut the target for the Federal Funds Rate by 75 basis points, from 4.25 percent to 3.50 percent.  </p>
<p>This extraordinary action was excessive and smells of fear.  It is the clearest example of monetary policy panic football I have witnessed in more than thirty years as a professional economist.  Because the action is so disproportionate, it is likely to further unsettle markets.</p></blockquote>
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		<title>By: Linkd</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2008/01/22/flavor-of-the-month-2/#comment-131161</link>
		<dc:creator>Linkd</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Jan 2008 00:36:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rjkoehler.com/2008/01/22/flavor-of-the-month-2/#comment-131161</guid>
		<description>Stephen Roach (FT):

&lt;blockquote&gt;Will it work? [today's rate cut] 
The answer lies in the unique character of this recession. There are two triggers - a bursting of the US house price bubble and a bursting of the credit bubble. I do not believe that aggressive Fed rate cuts will resolve the extreme imbalance between supply and demand in the US property market that will be pushing housing prices lower for some time. Nor do I believe that recent Fed actions will restore the functioning of credit markets to their pre-crisis state. As a result, pressures are likely to remain intense on housing - and credit-dependent US consumers...  

In essence, the Fed is "pushing on a string" here - unable to stop the recessionary dynamic now unfolding.  But there will be consequences in the next recovery. Unfortunately, the US central bank can’t seem to break out of the market-friendly trap it fell into nearly a decade ago  Panicking over the possibility that yet another bubble is bursting, the Fed is once again injecting liquidity into an asset-dependent US economy.  That won't arrest the recessionary dynamic now unfolding but it could well set the stage for the next asset bubble in America's bubble-prone economy. Have we learned anything from the mess of the past seven years?&lt;/blockquote&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Stephen Roach (FT):</p>
<blockquote><p>Will it work? [today's rate cut]<br />
The answer lies in the unique character of this recession. There are two triggers - a bursting of the US house price bubble and a bursting of the credit bubble. I do not believe that aggressive Fed rate cuts will resolve the extreme imbalance between supply and demand in the US property market that will be pushing housing prices lower for some time. Nor do I believe that recent Fed actions will restore the functioning of credit markets to their pre-crisis state. As a result, pressures are likely to remain intense on housing - and credit-dependent US consumers&#8230;  </p>
<p>In essence, the Fed is &#8220;pushing on a string&#8221; here - unable to stop the recessionary dynamic now unfolding.  But there will be consequences in the next recovery. Unfortunately, the US central bank can’t seem to break out of the market-friendly trap it fell into nearly a decade ago  Panicking over the possibility that yet another bubble is bursting, the Fed is once again injecting liquidity into an asset-dependent US economy.  That won&#8217;t arrest the recessionary dynamic now unfolding but it could well set the stage for the next asset bubble in America&#8217;s bubble-prone economy. Have we learned anything from the mess of the past seven years?</p></blockquote>
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		<title>By: Linkd</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2008/01/22/flavor-of-the-month-2/#comment-131158</link>
		<dc:creator>Linkd</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Jan 2008 00:30:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rjkoehler.com/2008/01/22/flavor-of-the-month-2/#comment-131158</guid>
		<description>If I'm reading WangKon right, I think I half agree. I differentiate between the 'subprime mess' and the real mess. Within the past year, we've worried that: bursting the private equity bubble would burst the Big Bubble; then that bursting the home equity loan bubble would do it; then that bursting the Yen carry trade would do it, then subprime. We could easily have sailed through subprime until something else burst the Big Bubble.

That Bubble (overpricing of stocks, bonds, homes, gold, oil, commodities, &lt;i&gt;everything&lt;/i&gt;, exists because America spends too much and saves too little. Go to war, which throws trillions of dollars into the economy. Cut taxes. Keep interest rates low to encourage borrowing, spend spend spend. Issue so many T-bills that there is no way even blind people can delude themselves that the dollar can maintain its value.

Some specifically-targeted program that would help limit the number mortgage defaults would be helpful, on that I'll agree. Default is bad. But "stimulate spending?" That's what got us where we are now. Americans don't need to spend any more; the rest of us do. Americans need to SAVE. I'll put up some FT snippets.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If I&#8217;m reading WangKon right, I think I half agree. I differentiate between the &#8217;subprime mess&#8217; and the real mess. Within the past year, we&#8217;ve worried that: bursting the private equity bubble would burst the Big Bubble; then that bursting the home equity loan bubble would do it; then that bursting the Yen carry trade would do it, then subprime. We could easily have sailed through subprime until something else burst the Big Bubble.</p>
<p>That Bubble (overpricing of stocks, bonds, homes, gold, oil, commodities, <i>everything</i>, exists because America spends too much and saves too little. Go to war, which throws trillions of dollars into the economy. Cut taxes. Keep interest rates low to encourage borrowing, spend spend spend. Issue so many T-bills that there is no way even blind people can delude themselves that the dollar can maintain its value.</p>
<p>Some specifically-targeted program that would help limit the number mortgage defaults would be helpful, on that I&#8217;ll agree. Default is bad. But &#8220;stimulate spending?&#8221; That&#8217;s what got us where we are now. Americans don&#8217;t need to spend any more; the rest of us do. Americans need to SAVE. I&#8217;ll put up some FT snippets.</p>
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		<title>By: captbbq</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2008/01/22/flavor-of-the-month-2/#comment-131154</link>
		<dc:creator>captbbq</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Jan 2008 00:21:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rjkoehler.com/2008/01/22/flavor-of-the-month-2/#comment-131154</guid>
		<description>FWIW I have eaten pidgeon before when it was offered as an apetizer at a rather upscale establishment in London. I figured pigs are far more nasty and we eat those, and then I considered all the other wierd shit I eat here and figured "why not?" (dog, live octopus, etc...).

It wasn't bad. It was very dark, like liver, and somewhat dense but still very chewy. It was also very lean. I'm not sure what to compare the taste to, but turkey came to mind.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>FWIW I have eaten pidgeon before when it was offered as an apetizer at a rather upscale establishment in London. I figured pigs are far more nasty and we eat those, and then I considered all the other wierd shit I eat here and figured &#8220;why not?&#8221; (dog, live octopus, etc&#8230;).</p>
<p>It wasn&#8217;t bad. It was very dark, like liver, and somewhat dense but still very chewy. It was also very lean. I&#8217;m not sure what to compare the taste to, but turkey came to mind.</p>
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		<title>By: littlebrownasian</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2008/01/22/flavor-of-the-month-2/#comment-131153</link>
		<dc:creator>littlebrownasian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Jan 2008 00:18:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rjkoehler.com/2008/01/22/flavor-of-the-month-2/#comment-131153</guid>
		<description>Heh, 32 days seem like such a long time to wait!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Heh, 32 days seem like such a long time to wait!</p>
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		<title>By: cm</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2008/01/22/flavor-of-the-month-2/#comment-131151</link>
		<dc:creator>cm</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Jan 2008 00:13:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rjkoehler.com/2008/01/22/flavor-of-the-month-2/#comment-131151</guid>
		<description>Natto, that's old news. Japanese at 2ch have been desperately wanting and wishing for another Korean collapse for years.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Natto, that&#8217;s old news. Japanese at 2ch have been desperately wanting and wishing for another Korean collapse for years.</p>
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