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	<title>Comments on: Lankov on death of N. Korean Stalinism</title>
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	<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2006/02/22/lankov-on-death-of-n-korean-stalinism/</link>
	<description>Korea... in Blog Format</description>
	<pubDate>Wed,  9 Jul 2008 12:25:40 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: baduk</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2006/02/22/lankov-on-death-of-n-korean-stalinism/#comment-29795</link>
		<dc:creator>baduk</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 25 Feb 2006 04:08:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rjkoehler.com/?p=2454#comment-29795</guid>
		<description>PyengYang is a small Disneyland where street peddlers pretend that they are independent businessmen.  They are not.  They just man the cart and at the end of day turn in their money to the Kim's people.  I am sure the Gaesung factory workers do the same.  

Nothing much has changed.  They all play the game.  KJI is just waiting to eat up SK. And, under Kim's command, these men will kill SKs without thinking twice about it. 

When they kick out International food relief workers and let people starve, what has really changed?  It is still KJI country.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>PyengYang is a small Disneyland where street peddlers pretend that they are independent businessmen.  They are not.  They just man the cart and at the end of day turn in their money to the Kim&#8217;s people.  I am sure the Gaesung factory workers do the same.  </p>
<p>Nothing much has changed.  They all play the game.  KJI is just waiting to eat up SK. And, under Kim&#8217;s command, these men will kill SKs without thinking twice about it. </p>
<p>When they kick out International food relief workers and let people starve, what has really changed?  It is still KJI country.</p>
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		<title>By: snow</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2006/02/22/lankov-on-death-of-n-korean-stalinism/#comment-29711</link>
		<dc:creator>snow</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Feb 2006 09:31:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rjkoehler.com/?p=2454#comment-29711</guid>
		<description>Yes, I agree. The military options just seem extremely difficult, so trying to subvert by stealth seems to be at least a decent option. Certainly better than the Roh-nothing approach of continually giving to the elite and never receiving anything in return. The only result of Roh's approach will be that reunification will be kicked ever further down the road, that is, if China ever lets it happen.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yes, I agree. The military options just seem extremely difficult, so trying to subvert by stealth seems to be at least a decent option. Certainly better than the Roh-nothing approach of continually giving to the elite and never receiving anything in return. The only result of Roh&#8217;s approach will be that reunification will be kicked ever further down the road, that is, if China ever lets it happen.</p>
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		<title>By: usinkorea</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2006/02/22/lankov-on-death-of-n-korean-stalinism/#comment-29709</link>
		<dc:creator>usinkorea</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Feb 2006 08:47:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rjkoehler.com/?p=2454#comment-29709</guid>
		<description>My guess is that it would be easy to get a lot of small, technology driven devices into Korea and passing around a lot of infomation including multimedia.  I saw where one of the top computer groups is making a small, cheap self-powered computer that you can crank.  I imagine with some imagination and help from computer makers, the intel community could pump a lot of resources into North Korea.  I think I said above I'd turn North Korea into the dumping ground of the latest from Office Depot and even cutting edge stuff most people in the US can't afford now.  I wouldn't even make it that covert --- meaning I wouldn't care if NK's news agency started showing captured stuff and screaming about America undermining it, because the intel I would pump is would be typical American, French, British, Japanese, and especially South Korean television and movies and documentaries.  Not a bunch of CIA psych opts stuff.   Just run of the mill stuff, because North Korea has planted the seeds of its downfall in its very success and excess.

There is a risk to the outside world in trying to bring down the internal downfall of North Korea.  The alternative is the status quo that leaves the chance (I think much more slim than people seem to think) of them selling a nuke or nuke grade material to someone who will use it, and the continued suffering of the North Korean people indefinately.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My guess is that it would be easy to get a lot of small, technology driven devices into Korea and passing around a lot of infomation including multimedia.  I saw where one of the top computer groups is making a small, cheap self-powered computer that you can crank.  I imagine with some imagination and help from computer makers, the intel community could pump a lot of resources into North Korea.  I think I said above I&#8217;d turn North Korea into the dumping ground of the latest from Office Depot and even cutting edge stuff most people in the US can&#8217;t afford now.  I wouldn&#8217;t even make it that covert &#8212; meaning I wouldn&#8217;t care if NK&#8217;s news agency started showing captured stuff and screaming about America undermining it, because the intel I would pump is would be typical American, French, British, Japanese, and especially South Korean television and movies and documentaries.  Not a bunch of CIA psych opts stuff.   Just run of the mill stuff, because North Korea has planted the seeds of its downfall in its very success and excess.</p>
<p>There is a risk to the outside world in trying to bring down the internal downfall of North Korea.  The alternative is the status quo that leaves the chance (I think much more slim than people seem to think) of them selling a nuke or nuke grade material to someone who will use it, and the continued suffering of the North Korean people indefinately.</p>
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		<title>By: snow</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2006/02/22/lankov-on-death-of-n-korean-stalinism/#comment-29692</link>
		<dc:creator>snow</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Feb 2006 05:24:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rjkoehler.com/?p=2454#comment-29692</guid>
		<description>I'm not sure exactly what Lankov is proposing, but in my mind, small measures would be more 'underground' support, not anything negotiated with the elite. Put resoures into undermining the elite via North Koreans in China, in terms of business and communications and stuff like that. Don't ask me how, as I'm just speculating (and I'm definitely no expert). But maybe there are ways, as in Iran, of promoting subversion stealthily. As things seem at a standstill these days, it seems like a good idea to try to quietly undermine KJI in some way. Mind you, again, this may not be easy to accomplish as China would not agree to anything.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m not sure exactly what Lankov is proposing, but in my mind, small measures would be more &#8216;underground&#8217; support, not anything negotiated with the elite. Put resoures into undermining the elite via North Koreans in China, in terms of business and communications and stuff like that. Don&#8217;t ask me how, as I&#8217;m just speculating (and I&#8217;m definitely no expert). But maybe there are ways, as in Iran, of promoting subversion stealthily. As things seem at a standstill these days, it seems like a good idea to try to quietly undermine KJI in some way. Mind you, again, this may not be easy to accomplish as China would not agree to anything.</p>
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		<title>By: usinkorea</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2006/02/22/lankov-on-death-of-n-korean-stalinism/#comment-29681</link>
		<dc:creator>usinkorea</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Feb 2006 03:02:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rjkoehler.com/?p=2454#comment-29681</guid>
		<description>The problem I have with the suggestion of doing small projects with the non-regime elite is I don't imagine the regime going for it.  Maybe Chinese business people, but I wonder how the US and Western Europe or even South Korea would fair if it tried to say it wanted economic engagement with the middle class?

I also just can't come to grips with the idea the Stalinist, or whatever terminology used, worse days are gone.  Does loss of control count in that sense?  Does the fact the people are increasingly more disillusioned than they were under Kim Il Sung warrant much optimism?

Not too long ago, there was a lot of optimism placed on the idea of Kim Jong Il and a group of younger technocrats were going to lead to a refashioning of the society.  Now it is hope in a grass roots peaceful revolution or evolution.   I haven't seen enough to put my money on either.  

I don't like the chances fundamental change will come without a rougher collapse than what happened in the Soviet Union in large part because it seems to me the Pyongyang regime has long been much more successful in making a dictatorial state and controlling the people in large part due to its geography and size.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The problem I have with the suggestion of doing small projects with the non-regime elite is I don&#8217;t imagine the regime going for it.  Maybe Chinese business people, but I wonder how the US and Western Europe or even South Korea would fair if it tried to say it wanted economic engagement with the middle class?</p>
<p>I also just can&#8217;t come to grips with the idea the Stalinist, or whatever terminology used, worse days are gone.  Does loss of control count in that sense?  Does the fact the people are increasingly more disillusioned than they were under Kim Il Sung warrant much optimism?</p>
<p>Not too long ago, there was a lot of optimism placed on the idea of Kim Jong Il and a group of younger technocrats were going to lead to a refashioning of the society.  Now it is hope in a grass roots peaceful revolution or evolution.   I haven&#8217;t seen enough to put my money on either.  </p>
<p>I don&#8217;t like the chances fundamental change will come without a rougher collapse than what happened in the Soviet Union in large part because it seems to me the Pyongyang regime has long been much more successful in making a dictatorial state and controlling the people in large part due to its geography and size.</p>
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		<title>By: dogbertt</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2006/02/22/lankov-on-death-of-n-korean-stalinism/#comment-29678</link>
		<dc:creator>dogbertt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Feb 2006 02:06:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rjkoehler.com/?p=2454#comment-29678</guid>
		<description>"Andrei Nikolaich..." ~ doesn't sound too much like a fellow on the CIA payroll.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Andrei Nikolaich&#8230;&#8221; ~ doesn&#8217;t sound too much like a fellow on the CIA payroll.</p>
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		<title>By: snow</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2006/02/22/lankov-on-death-of-n-korean-stalinism/#comment-29677</link>
		<dc:creator>snow</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Feb 2006 01:49:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rjkoehler.com/?p=2454#comment-29677</guid>
		<description>Prof Lankov's analysis does seem relatively optimistic, but it was fascinating and he made a lot of good points. It really does seem that a lot of cracks have begun to appear, and though there are the camps and plenty of nastiness continues, it seems that KJI and cohorts don't have the kind of control they had in the past. Lankov is suggesting that we push ahead with 'small measures' that can help average Norks and push ahead with small subversions, such as radio and communications to widen the cracks further. At the same time, he recommends against doing the big projects that only help the leadership, so he presents some interesting possibilities. I hardly think he's painting the place as some kind of paradise, but it does seem to have changed a great deal from it's severely Stalinist days. They're still trying to be that way, but it doesn't seem to work to the same degree anymore. He seems to be saying that KJI and his pukes are losing it, slowly but surely.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Prof Lankov&#8217;s analysis does seem relatively optimistic, but it was fascinating and he made a lot of good points. It really does seem that a lot of cracks have begun to appear, and though there are the camps and plenty of nastiness continues, it seems that KJI and cohorts don&#8217;t have the kind of control they had in the past. Lankov is suggesting that we push ahead with &#8217;small measures&#8217; that can help average Norks and push ahead with small subversions, such as radio and communications to widen the cracks further. At the same time, he recommends against doing the big projects that only help the leadership, so he presents some interesting possibilities. I hardly think he&#8217;s painting the place as some kind of paradise, but it does seem to have changed a great deal from it&#8217;s severely Stalinist days. They&#8217;re still trying to be that way, but it doesn&#8217;t seem to work to the same degree anymore. He seems to be saying that KJI and his pukes are losing it, slowly but surely.</p>
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		<title>By: usinkorea</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2006/02/22/lankov-on-death-of-n-korean-stalinism/#comment-29671</link>
		<dc:creator>usinkorea</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Feb 2006 23:48:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rjkoehler.com/?p=2454#comment-29671</guid>
		<description>Yes.  As I said, I made a gigantic ass of myself in the first two comments.  I usually hold to my rule of not making a comment shorter than a paragraph, because if you don't do that, you don't really make a point even if you have one, and I didn't really have one beyond how this article reminded me one from some weeks to a couple of months ago that seemed very out of place with what else was being said --- with the rest of what was being said was exactly what what you wrote in the last article I linked to about the government moving to curb reform.

I still have a hard time reconciling the two sets of ideas exhibited in the article that started the thread and the one from Dec.

It was that way when reading the definition of Stalinism in the latest piece.

Of the signs of Stalinism --
"a system of mass terror"
"an extreme mobilizational model of economic growth, tied to goals of achieving military power and the political consequences thereof"
"a heterogenous value system that favored economic status and power stratification, fostered extraordinary cultural uniformity, and was tied to extreme nationalism"
"a system of personal dictatorship"

I am not a North Korea expert or read extensively the latest material on the topic, but it would suprise me if these things are no longer a characteristic of the society.  With the note on the economy, since the North's industry has deteriorated so much, it might be hard to judge, but I would think continuing the military first policy steadfastly would fall in there.

And then there was the first quote --
"??s the Gulag emptied in the late 1950s, the USSR remained a society which treated its citizens badly by Western standards, but ceased to be a society which imprisoned and killed its citizens on a uniquely massive scale."

The gulags in the North haven't emptied, and I'm not sure about killing the citizens in mass either considering the move to kick out NGOs.  I would think we'd have to see if famine conditions return and how the regime handles it this time compared to the 1990s.  (And in the CNN aired special, the people who made it said the refugees were saying starvation conditions similar to the start of the famine in the 1990s were returning).

I would guess the starvation of the 1990s and the loss of prestige that went with the death of the father Kim have altered the society much, but especially if a person had little to no knowledge of North Korea, I would think reading the article they would get the idea North Korea is a misunderstood place that isn't so bad after all.

And one thing I was curious about -- "The centrally planned economy has ceased to exist, government control over the population has been undermined to such an extent that even cross-border movements are now unmonitored."

I haven't heard anything like that.  The only thing I can think of related to the border I've heard in the last few months was about the possibility of NK guards raiding a place in China and more recently the possibility of attacks on NK guard stations on the border.  

I would have thought if the border with China were unmonitored, there would have been a flood of refugees drastically above what was seen in the 1990s and it would be talked about a great deal....</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yes.  As I said, I made a gigantic ass of myself in the first two comments.  I usually hold to my rule of not making a comment shorter than a paragraph, because if you don&#8217;t do that, you don&#8217;t really make a point even if you have one, and I didn&#8217;t really have one beyond how this article reminded me one from some weeks to a couple of months ago that seemed very out of place with what else was being said &#8212; with the rest of what was being said was exactly what what you wrote in the last article I linked to about the government moving to curb reform.</p>
<p>I still have a hard time reconciling the two sets of ideas exhibited in the article that started the thread and the one from Dec.</p>
<p>It was that way when reading the definition of Stalinism in the latest piece.</p>
<p>Of the signs of Stalinism &#8211;<br />
&#8220;a system of mass terror&#8221;<br />
&#8220;an extreme mobilizational model of economic growth, tied to goals of achieving military power and the political consequences thereof&#8221;<br />
&#8220;a heterogenous value system that favored economic status and power stratification, fostered extraordinary cultural uniformity, and was tied to extreme nationalism&#8221;<br />
&#8220;a system of personal dictatorship&#8221;</p>
<p>I am not a North Korea expert or read extensively the latest material on the topic, but it would suprise me if these things are no longer a characteristic of the society.  With the note on the economy, since the North&#8217;s industry has deteriorated so much, it might be hard to judge, but I would think continuing the military first policy steadfastly would fall in there.</p>
<p>And then there was the first quote &#8211;<br />
&#8220;??s the Gulag emptied in the late 1950s, the USSR remained a society which treated its citizens badly by Western standards, but ceased to be a society which imprisoned and killed its citizens on a uniquely massive scale.&#8221;</p>
<p>The gulags in the North haven&#8217;t emptied, and I&#8217;m not sure about killing the citizens in mass either considering the move to kick out NGOs.  I would think we&#8217;d have to see if famine conditions return and how the regime handles it this time compared to the 1990s.  (And in the CNN aired special, the people who made it said the refugees were saying starvation conditions similar to the start of the famine in the 1990s were returning).</p>
<p>I would guess the starvation of the 1990s and the loss of prestige that went with the death of the father Kim have altered the society much, but especially if a person had little to no knowledge of North Korea, I would think reading the article they would get the idea North Korea is a misunderstood place that isn&#8217;t so bad after all.</p>
<p>And one thing I was curious about &#8212; &#8220;The centrally planned economy has ceased to exist, government control over the population has been undermined to such an extent that even cross-border movements are now unmonitored.&#8221;</p>
<p>I haven&#8217;t heard anything like that.  The only thing I can think of related to the border I&#8217;ve heard in the last few months was about the possibility of NK guards raiding a place in China and more recently the possibility of attacks on NK guard stations on the border.  </p>
<p>I would have thought if the border with China were unmonitored, there would have been a flood of refugees drastically above what was seen in the 1990s and it would be talked about a great deal&#8230;.</p>
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		<title>By: Lankov</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2006/02/22/lankov-on-death-of-n-korean-stalinism/#comment-29669</link>
		<dc:creator>Lankov</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Feb 2006 22:26:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rjkoehler.com/?p=2454#comment-29669</guid>
		<description>&#62;

The short answer: long term and (hopefully) short term trends. Long term trend is the gradual erosion of the regime, but over the last year or so, since 2005 summer, they try to tighten things up. It remains to be seen if they are going to be successful or not. I hope not.

In regard to the remark "If North Korea has progressed beyond being a Stalinist state, what definition of Stalinism are we using?". This is the question. The word "Stalinism" has been (ab)used so much that it has become nearly meaningless. But, I believe, not because it does not reflect some social phenomenon, but simply because it is used extensively and emotionally. In the article I discussed the issue breifly.

By the way, for those who read Russian: you are welcome to read a long trend in a Russian forum on contemporary Asia where they discuss whether I am a [US] State Department paid hand and how much I get from the CIA for my writings. Not a joke, you are welcome to have a look

http://polusharie.com/index.php/topic,8293.0.html</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&gt;</p>
<p>The short answer: long term and (hopefully) short term trends. Long term trend is the gradual erosion of the regime, but over the last year or so, since 2005 summer, they try to tighten things up. It remains to be seen if they are going to be successful or not. I hope not.</p>
<p>In regard to the remark &#8220;If North Korea has progressed beyond being a Stalinist state, what definition of Stalinism are we using?&#8221;. This is the question. The word &#8220;Stalinism&#8221; has been (ab)used so much that it has become nearly meaningless. But, I believe, not because it does not reflect some social phenomenon, but simply because it is used extensively and emotionally. In the article I discussed the issue breifly.</p>
<p>By the way, for those who read Russian: you are welcome to read a long trend in a Russian forum on contemporary Asia where they discuss whether I am a [US] State Department paid hand and how much I get from the CIA for my writings. Not a joke, you are welcome to have a look</p>
<p><a href="http://polusharie.com/index.php/topic,8293.0.html" rel="nofollow">http://polusharie.com/index.php/topic,8293.0.html</a></p>
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		<title>By: usinkorea</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2006/02/22/lankov-on-death-of-n-korean-stalinism/#comment-29661</link>
		<dc:creator>usinkorea</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Feb 2006 14:07:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rjkoehler.com/?p=2454#comment-29661</guid>
		<description>I was trying to find the article from some weeks to months ago I had in mind when first reading and commenting on this post.  I couldn't find it, and I don't remember the details other than this -- it seemed so different from other things I had heard about NK recently, I emailed it to somebody I know spends much more time on NK issues than me to see what he thought.

Anyway, in the unsuccessful search for that article, I ran across one I had read but did not remember --- which I wish I would have, because it makes the snide comment I made here make me look like even more of a gigantic ass ---- but re-reading it, it leaves me more perplexed than before...

Aid Strengthens Kims Regime
http://www.cacda.org.cn/english/research/Read.asp?ID=125

"The recent news out of North Korea leaves no room for doubt. After a decade of grudgingly allowing small-scale free markets, Kim Jong Ils regime is seeking to reimpose total control."

Definately not something Kim Jong Il would have wanted to pay for....

.....but how does that article mesh with this one???</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was trying to find the article from some weeks to months ago I had in mind when first reading and commenting on this post.  I couldn&#8217;t find it, and I don&#8217;t remember the details other than this &#8212; it seemed so different from other things I had heard about NK recently, I emailed it to somebody I know spends much more time on NK issues than me to see what he thought.</p>
<p>Anyway, in the unsuccessful search for that article, I ran across one I had read but did not remember &#8212; which I wish I would have, because it makes the snide comment I made here make me look like even more of a gigantic ass &#8212;- but re-reading it, it leaves me more perplexed than before&#8230;</p>
<p>Aid Strengthens Kims Regime<br />
<a href="http://www.cacda.org.cn/english/research/Read.asp?ID=125" rel="nofollow">http://www.cacda.org.cn/englis.....asp?ID=125</a></p>
<p>&#8220;The recent news out of North Korea leaves no room for doubt. After a decade of grudgingly allowing small-scale free markets, Kim Jong Ils regime is seeking to reimpose total control.&#8221;</p>
<p>Definately not something Kim Jong Il would have wanted to pay for&#8230;.</p>
<p>&#8230;..but how does that article mesh with this one???</p>
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