Anyway, I’m not worried. Jack Ryan will come in and save the day at the last minute.

As soon as the US pulls out of SK, NK ends hostilities against Japan, with China working as the peacemaker.

Five years later, the Unified Korea attacks Japan under China’s orders. The US is nowhere to be found.

China, after using NK nukes as trading chips against Taiwan acquisition, may try using NK in a new venture.

KJI visited China this year with military generals. This is significant move. And, I am afraid that the purpose of visit was not economic change as many media have reported.

China may start using NK to attack Japan!

The following events may take place.

1) NK will be very belligerent toward Japan, attacking Japanese boats and even shooting some missiles.

2) The US will be put into an awkward position. To defend Japan, the US may have to start a war against NK. However, this will not pass in the Congress. Koizumi’s Yasukuni visits will be a convenient excuse for the US not to commit troop. The US will just take the issue to the UN.

3) When NK attacks heighten and the Japanese require the US to live up to the mutual defense treaty, the US will reluctantly have to commit troops.

4) This is where the most intriguing events will follow. South Koreans will ask the US to leave the country! SK will join NK and China alliance.

China wants this consequence and may activate this scenario.

KJI is just a puppet.

Yo marmot… I haven’t read the article yet but it would be interesting to hear what it is from what you’ve summarized that you don’t agree with.

The same thing we discussed last evening. Namely, that Kim seems to be using the “Chinese dependency” argument as a justification for Seoul pumping even more money into North Korea than it is now. Personally, I don’t see the point in throwing good money into a bad investment just because China’s content to do so. This is the thing I warned against in an earlier comment–everyone in the neighborhood rushing to pump money into North Korea so the “other side” doesn’t acquire undue “influence” in Pyongyang. Moreover, he seems to ignore–see the last paragraph, that South Korea differs from China in that the former is accountable to voting taxpayers while the latter is not, ergo, Seoul can’t simply pump in all sorts of aid into North Korea without making public–and discussing politically–the totals and particulars of the moneys involved.

Kim Tae Kyeong is a smart guy and he knows China well (not just for having majored in Chinese at Yonsei). Whatever China’s intentions really may be with NK, it think it is a very positive development to have SK’s left-of-center be concerned about them.

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Korea/GL17Dg01.html