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	<title>Comments on: Sino-Russian military exercise spooky to some</title>
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	<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2005/08/17/sino-russian-military-exercise-spooky-to-some/</link>
	<description>Korea... in Blog Format</description>
	<pubDate>Thu,  4 Dec 2008 04:32:21 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: muruneko</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2005/08/17/sino-russian-military-exercise-spooky-to-some/#comment-21852</link>
		<dc:creator>muruneko</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Aug 2005 20:16:43 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>According to the recent several news articles in Hong Kong, China is funding all the cost for this military exercise. What do you read about this?



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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>According to the recent several news articles in Hong Kong, China is funding all the cost for this military exercise. What do you read about this?</p>
<p>&#8212;</p>
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		<title>By: gorea</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2005/08/17/sino-russian-military-exercise-spooky-to-some/#comment-21851</link>
		<dc:creator>gorea</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2005 17:38:51 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>I think China will be a better behaved superpower if it doesn??t feel threatened all along its periphery. 

As long as China is under CCP, they need enemy.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think China will be a better behaved superpower if it doesn??t feel threatened all along its periphery. </p>
<p>As long as China is under CCP, they need enemy.</p>
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		<title>By: Kushibo</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2005/08/17/sino-russian-military-exercise-spooky-to-some/#comment-21850</link>
		<dc:creator>Kushibo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2005 16:33:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rjkoehler.com/?p=1928#comment-21850</guid>
		<description>Window dressing, Curious (#72). They have disputed territories, the Tibetan government-in-exile is in India, along with tens of thousands of Tibetan refugees. 

I admit there are hopeful signs, though. I hope things do work out, because I think China will be a better behaved superpower if it doesn't feel threatened all along its periphery.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Window dressing, Curious (#72). They have disputed territories, the Tibetan government-in-exile is in India, along with tens of thousands of Tibetan refugees. </p>
<p>I admit there are hopeful signs, though. I hope things do work out, because I think China will be a better behaved superpower if it doesn&#8217;t feel threatened all along its periphery.</p>
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		<title>By: Curious  (a.k.a. Sewing)</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2005/08/17/sino-russian-military-exercise-spooky-to-some/#comment-21849</link>
		<dc:creator>Curious  (a.k.a. Sewing)</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2005 09:55:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rjkoehler.com/?p=1928#comment-21849</guid>
		<description>Kushibo wrote (#64):

"I??m just saying that the India-China relationship is already pretty sour."

Maybe it was, but didn't Hu Jintao and Manmohan Singh reach a number of trade/cultural agreements on Hu's recent visit to India, as well as an agreement to some kind of resolution of their border dispute?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Kushibo wrote (#64):</p>
<p>&#8220;I??m just saying that the India-China relationship is already pretty sour.&#8221;</p>
<p>Maybe it was, but didn&#8217;t Hu Jintao and Manmohan Singh reach a number of trade/cultural agreements on Hu&#8217;s recent visit to India, as well as an agreement to some kind of resolution of their border dispute?</p>
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		<title>By: Paul H.</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2005/08/17/sino-russian-military-exercise-spooky-to-some/#comment-21848</link>
		<dc:creator>Paul H.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2005 09:50:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rjkoehler.com/?p=1928#comment-21848</guid>
		<description>Huh? What basis do you have for thinking something like this is even remotely possible?  

Are you saying that North Korean pilots routinely operate these days as part of the flight crews on the normal missions of Chinese military aircraft (to include fully armed missions on routine patrols, or maybe just on routine "strip alert" status)?

I wouldn't think so, but I admit I don't know.  However, your scenario sounds more like a James Bond movie than something that is a realistic possibility.  

Even if NorK pilots do train routinely these days with the PRC air force, I don't think the Chinese would allow North Korean pilots to be members of Backfire aircrews.  

The theoretical basis for any such joint training would be to help the North Koreans to improve their skills.  Since North Korea doesn't (and presumably won't) have any Backfires, there would be no reason for PRC to allow NorK pilots any access to their Backfires. 

I would guess that the Japanese Air Force, along with USAF fighter acft stationed in Japan, do practice routinely the interception of unidentified aircraft headed toward the Japanese home islands.  

They probably got a lot of practice in this during the Cold War, intercepting Russian long-range patrol acft (Tu-95) that routinely patrolled out of the Soviet Far East air bases. 

Might have fallen off some after the Cold War ended but I bet it picked up again after 9/11.  Also anything unidentified coming out of China would be intercepted immediately.  

It would be interesting to know if Japan keeps at least a couple of fighters in the air 24/7, given how close they are to NorK and China.  Even if they don't, I suspect they ( also USAF) can "scramble" air defense fighters 24/7 in a couple of minutes.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Huh? What basis do you have for thinking something like this is even remotely possible?  </p>
<p>Are you saying that North Korean pilots routinely operate these days as part of the flight crews on the normal missions of Chinese military aircraft (to include fully armed missions on routine patrols, or maybe just on routine &#8220;strip alert&#8221; status)?</p>
<p>I wouldn&#8217;t think so, but I admit I don&#8217;t know.  However, your scenario sounds more like a James Bond movie than something that is a realistic possibility.  </p>
<p>Even if NorK pilots do train routinely these days with the PRC air force, I don&#8217;t think the Chinese would allow North Korean pilots to be members of Backfire aircrews.  </p>
<p>The theoretical basis for any such joint training would be to help the North Koreans to improve their skills.  Since North Korea doesn&#8217;t (and presumably won&#8217;t) have any Backfires, there would be no reason for PRC to allow NorK pilots any access to their Backfires. </p>
<p>I would guess that the Japanese Air Force, along with USAF fighter acft stationed in Japan, do practice routinely the interception of unidentified aircraft headed toward the Japanese home islands.  </p>
<p>They probably got a lot of practice in this during the Cold War, intercepting Russian long-range patrol acft (Tu-95) that routinely patrolled out of the Soviet Far East air bases. </p>
<p>Might have fallen off some after the Cold War ended but I bet it picked up again after 9/11.  Also anything unidentified coming out of China would be intercepted immediately.  </p>
<p>It would be interesting to know if Japan keeps at least a couple of fighters in the air 24/7, given how close they are to NorK and China.  Even if they don&#8217;t, I suspect they ( also USAF) can &#8220;scramble&#8221; air defense fighters 24/7 in a couple of minutes.</p>
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		<title>By: Paul H.</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2005/08/17/sino-russian-military-exercise-spooky-to-some/#comment-21847</link>
		<dc:creator>Paul H.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2005 08:02:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rjkoehler.com/?p=1928#comment-21847</guid>
		<description>The primary purpose of the Backfire design was for these aircraft to operate as a land-based long-range anti-shipping strike force.  

The long range enabled them to operate from Russian Arctic and Pacific bases while ranging for immense distances out into the North Atlantic and North Pacific oceans, where they could use cruise missiles to attack US naval task forces and shipping from "stand-off".   Their land bases would be relatively immune to counterattack from the much shorter-ranged US naval aircraft, operating from carrier task forces. 

Their theoretical ability to attack the continental US and then return (with aerial refueling) was a standard theme of stories about them, in the US media during the 70's and 80's.  

But a military weapons system, though it may prove adaptable to a great variety of missions, is usually built with a very specific "mission" in mind.   The US B-52, B-1, and B-2 bombers were built for the original mission of long-range attack against the Soviet Union with nuclear weapons.  However, the Backfire was not meant by the Soviet Union to be a parallel to these US aircraft.   

My guess is that the Chinese are undoubtedly interested in acquiring the Backfire for this same specific mission of long-range naval attack.  Since the Russians are no longer able to maintain much of their own deepwater navy, and since any potential differences Russian might have with the PRC don't involve competition over issues of sea power, it's not surprising to me that the Russians might be rapidly losing any reluctance they have retained to date about selling the Chinese some Backfires.  

It would be interesting to know if the Backfire is still in production.  Even if it isn't, if the Russians have some mothballed "low-mileage" ones (as one of the linked stories seems to imply), these could prove quite suitable for the Chinese.  The Chinese should be able to get a pretty good deal on them.  

The Chinese lack of an aerial refueling capability (a capability that requires an enormous expenditure of resources to acquire) wouldn't matter.  Like the Russians, the Chinese will count on their land-based ICBMs as their deterrent against a US strategic nuclear attack.   

The best description of the potential use of Backfires I've ever seen was in the Tom Clancy novel Red Storm Rising.  Warning it's immensely long (but easily skimmed due to the way he wrote it).  Should be a lot of used paperback copies out there.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The primary purpose of the Backfire design was for these aircraft to operate as a land-based long-range anti-shipping strike force.  </p>
<p>The long range enabled them to operate from Russian Arctic and Pacific bases while ranging for immense distances out into the North Atlantic and North Pacific oceans, where they could use cruise missiles to attack US naval task forces and shipping from &#8220;stand-off&#8221;.   Their land bases would be relatively immune to counterattack from the much shorter-ranged US naval aircraft, operating from carrier task forces. </p>
<p>Their theoretical ability to attack the continental US and then return (with aerial refueling) was a standard theme of stories about them, in the US media during the 70&#8217;s and 80&#8217;s.  </p>
<p>But a military weapons system, though it may prove adaptable to a great variety of missions, is usually built with a very specific &#8220;mission&#8221; in mind.   The US B-52, B-1, and B-2 bombers were built for the original mission of long-range attack against the Soviet Union with nuclear weapons.  However, the Backfire was not meant by the Soviet Union to be a parallel to these US aircraft.   </p>
<p>My guess is that the Chinese are undoubtedly interested in acquiring the Backfire for this same specific mission of long-range naval attack.  Since the Russians are no longer able to maintain much of their own deepwater navy, and since any potential differences Russian might have with the PRC don&#8217;t involve competition over issues of sea power, it&#8217;s not surprising to me that the Russians might be rapidly losing any reluctance they have retained to date about selling the Chinese some Backfires.  </p>
<p>It would be interesting to know if the Backfire is still in production.  Even if it isn&#8217;t, if the Russians have some mothballed &#8220;low-mileage&#8221; ones (as one of the linked stories seems to imply), these could prove quite suitable for the Chinese.  The Chinese should be able to get a pretty good deal on them.  </p>
<p>The Chinese lack of an aerial refueling capability (a capability that requires an enormous expenditure of resources to acquire) wouldn&#8217;t matter.  Like the Russians, the Chinese will count on their land-based ICBMs as their deterrent against a US strategic nuclear attack.   </p>
<p>The best description of the potential use of Backfires I&#8217;ve ever seen was in the Tom Clancy novel Red Storm Rising.  Warning it&#8217;s immensely long (but easily skimmed due to the way he wrote it).  Should be a lot of used paperback copies out there.</p>
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		<title>By: KrZ</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2005/08/17/sino-russian-military-exercise-spooky-to-some/#comment-21846</link>
		<dc:creator>KrZ</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2005 03:32:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rjkoehler.com/?p=1928#comment-21846</guid>
		<description>In 400 years, assuming reproduction at the age of 20, and no inbreeding, with 3 offspring per coupling, King Sejong would have over 1 billion progeny populatind the earth after 400 years.  At 2 offspring per coupling he would have over half a million descendents.  I would imagine a large portion of the population probably is related to King Sejong, and a majority are almost certainly related to Ghengis Khan.  Not such a stretch of the imagination</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In 400 years, assuming reproduction at the age of 20, and no inbreeding, with 3 offspring per coupling, King Sejong would have over 1 billion progeny populatind the earth after 400 years.  At 2 offspring per coupling he would have over half a million descendents.  I would imagine a large portion of the population probably is related to King Sejong, and a majority are almost certainly related to Ghengis Khan.  Not such a stretch of the imagination</p>
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		<title>By: usinkorea</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2005/08/17/sino-russian-military-exercise-spooky-to-some/#comment-21845</link>
		<dc:creator>usinkorea</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2005 03:22:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rjkoehler.com/?p=1928#comment-21845</guid>
		<description>Ray just reminded me of a Dr. Lee I once taught.  I was at the royal ancestor's memorial day at the Chongmyo shrine, and I saw him in the crowd near the roped off area filming.  I was filming too, and I hadn't seen him in a couple of years, so I asked him what was up.  He said he was filming his father -- thus his father was part of the performance.  I asked him which one was him, and he said the guy in the yellow hat.  I looked and the only one that had gold in his headdress was the guy playing the part of the king.  I was impressed, since I think the people who perform the roles really are descendants of the royal family....</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ray just reminded me of a Dr. Lee I once taught.  I was at the royal ancestor&#8217;s memorial day at the Chongmyo shrine, and I saw him in the crowd near the roped off area filming.  I was filming too, and I hadn&#8217;t seen him in a couple of years, so I asked him what was up.  He said he was filming his father &#8212; thus his father was part of the performance.  I asked him which one was him, and he said the guy in the yellow hat.  I looked and the only one that had gold in his headdress was the guy playing the part of the king.  I was impressed, since I think the people who perform the roles really are descendants of the royal family&#8230;.</p>
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		<title>By: Ray</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2005/08/17/sino-russian-military-exercise-spooky-to-some/#comment-21844</link>
		<dc:creator>Ray</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2005 02:46:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rjkoehler.com/?p=1928#comment-21844</guid>
		<description>"Whenever a Korean says his ancestors were royal family or that they came from China or even India, you should take that with grain of salt. Koreans like to think that their family tree is unique and important in origin."

I once knew a woman who said she was related to King Sejong; like she was his _th great grandaughter or something.  Is this an example of what you mention?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Whenever a Korean says his ancestors were royal family or that they came from China or even India, you should take that with grain of salt. Koreans like to think that their family tree is unique and important in origin.&#8221;</p>
<p>I once knew a woman who said she was related to King Sejong; like she was his _th great grandaughter or something.  Is this an example of what you mention?</p>
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		<title>By: nulji</title>
		<link>http://www.rjkoehler.com/2005/08/17/sino-russian-military-exercise-spooky-to-some/#comment-21843</link>
		<dc:creator>nulji</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2005 01:50:06 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>i never thought i'd write this, but thanks, usinkorea, for some interesting posts. 

on a different note, why did hedeyoshi want the chinese to recognize him as ruler of all japan? 

lastly, to kushibo: i keep seeing you write that china is going to take north korea. what i don't see you write is the reasons why. why would china take north korea? i understand if you have no time to respond.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>i never thought i&#8217;d write this, but thanks, usinkorea, for some interesting posts. </p>
<p>on a different note, why did hedeyoshi want the chinese to recognize him as ruler of all japan? </p>
<p>lastly, to kushibo: i keep seeing you write that china is going to take north korea. what i don&#8217;t see you write is the reasons why. why would china take north korea? i understand if you have no time to respond.</p>
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